More to the point, though, a high sinker is simply much easier to hit than a low one. Baseball Savant. It also happens to drop 67.7 inches, an amount of vertical curve movement bested by only eight pitchers last year.Strictly from a weapons standpoint, it certainly seems like Civale is ready to make a name for himself in 2020.Equally encouraging is the fact that, when reevaluating his rookie debut, there isn’t a ton of deception in his surface-level stats.Civale allowed very little quality contact in 2019, with a low average exit velocity (86.6) and a minuscule barrel rate (2.4%). In fact, the fun thing about that is that Kluber’s 2013 and 2014 seasons lay the groundwork for the strides that Civale needs to take as his career continues in the Majors.
Player Batting 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | All; Player Pitching If he manages to also adjust his cutter and slider location and we could see his K% skyrocket.I feel over the course of this article I have accurately demonstrated that there are plenty of similarities between Does this mean I think Civale is going to win a Cy Young next year? First, let’s watch them both. The major difference comes in terms of SwStr% and CSW%. Baseball Savant’s scouting report on starting pitcher Aaron Civale is quite an interesting read. What he lacks in high velocity, he makes up for with movement and spin rate.His cutter -- one of the pitches he relies upon the most -- boasts 5.5 inches of horizontal break, 3.5 more inches than similar cutters at his velocity. Their repertoires at this stage of their careers could be carbon copies of themselves.The only major difference in their arsenals was that Kluber relied more on a changeup to get lefties out while Civale utilizes a curveball to do so. It’s worth wondering if there is some regression coming for Civale’s sinker but if you remember it did a pretty good job drawing poor flyball contact and a ton of infield flyballs without sacrificing much in the way of groundballs either, then maybe the results are more legit than we realize.Also with these results in mind suddenly Civale’s 3.4% advantage in active spin on his sinker becomes much more relevant. As a result, his expected outcome stats for slugging percentage (.347 xSLG) and wOBA (.278 xwOBA) aren’t far off from his actual numbers mentioned above.Despite this, projections for Civale are notably unfavorable.Almost all outlets predict his ERA will land in the high 4’s this season, perhaps discouraged by the increases in FIP, WHIP and walk rate he displayed during the final month of last season. For added context, he took on the Rangers, Twins, Yankees, Mets and Tigers in August, with all but one game occurring on the road. Still, it’s fair to say Civale’s performance wasn’t trending in the right direction.But does this indicate his 2019 season was fool's gold?Was Civale's September was just a string of uneven starts? If Baseball Savant is to be believed, the movement of the two pitches is pretty similar.

At the beginning of his career, he threw his sinker nearly 50.0% of the time. Let’s look back at the numbers for a second in a different context.If you ignore the ERA and WHIP, Civale’s 2019 bears a striking resemblance to Kluber’s 2012 season. By 2015 he had cut that usage all the way down to 30.1% and The Sheriff was born. In general, no pitch has fallen out of vogue more sharply the last few years than the sinker. Only thing missing is that, like Bieber, Civale has a track record of absurdly good control, that blip at the end of last season notwithstanding. Projected & Actual Stats (via Fangraphs) Pitch Arsenal (via Baseball Savant) Aaron Civale has been fantastic through his first five starts of 2020. Jan 28, 2020 Baseball Savant’s scouting report on starting pitcher Aaron Civale is quite an interesting read.

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